Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.191372 0.221573 0.254974 0.294652 0.340511 0.391860 0.453743
2025-08-31 0.142480 0.182584 0.231565 0.295803 0.377879 0.479324 0.614396
2025-09-07 0.117425 0.161429 0.218998 0.299853 0.410593 0.557155 0.766268
2025-09-14 0.097191 0.141494 0.202795 0.293842 0.425817 0.610504 0.889316
2025-09-21 0.083266 0.127391 0.191481 0.291398 0.443518 0.666942 1.021142
2025-09-28 0.073738 0.117938 0.184986 0.294146 0.467806 0.734140 1.175275
2025-10-05 0.068702 0.114433 0.186607 0.308865 0.511332 0.834358 1.391253
2025-10-12 0.063469 0.109763 0.185558 0.318748 0.547675 0.926527 1.604346
2025-10-19 0.058591 0.104952 0.183505 0.326365 0.580607 1.016001 1.822502
2025-10-26 0.053620 0.099283 0.179197 0.329316 0.605384 1.093660 2.028222
2025-11-02 0.048321 0.092327 0.171740 0.325571 0.617406 1.149608 2.200393
2025-11-09 0.042783 0.084229 0.161243 0.314859 0.615059 1.178718 2.325074
2025-11-16 0.040076 0.081300 0.160175 0.322183 0.648324 1.278830 2.599745
2025-11-23 0.036916 0.077107 0.156225 0.323439 0.669931 1.359091 2.845202
2025-11-30 0.034455 0.074012 0.154036 0.327867 0.698207 1.455172 3.133425
2025-12-07 0.031181 0.068812 0.146971 0.321295 0.702753 1.503219 3.326025
2025-12-14 0.028631 0.064855 0.142032 0.318622 0.715164 1.568717 3.563369
2025-12-21 0.026823 0.062316 0.139826 0.321627 0.740239 1.663784 3.876846
2025-12-28 0.026195 0.062373 0.143294 0.337723 0.796460 1.833073 4.378423
2026-01-04 0.025193 0.061439 0.144423 0.348530 0.841650 1.982213 4.850032
2026-01-11 0.024085 0.060118 0.144507 0.356859 0.881873 2.124053 5.320369
2026-01-18 0.022730 0.058038 0.142577 0.360086 0.910080 2.240441 5.741635
2026-01-25 0.021052 0.054955 0.137902 0.355990 0.919683 2.312895 6.060974